A new poll shows Joe Biden leading Donald Trump by 13 points in Pennsylvania for November’s election.
The Monmouth University poll of registered Pennsylvania voters shows Biden, the Democratic candidate, is supported by 53% while the incumbent Trump is favored by 40%.
“Even taking into account any polling error from four years ago, Biden is clearly doing well in swing areas,” says Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute. “The Democrat has roots in this region which may be helping him, but there seems to be an overall erosion of support for Trump compared to 2016.”
Despite the lead, poll respondents seem to believe there are so-called “secret voters” who could turn the tide. Those secret voters would be people who support Trump but don’t tell anyone about it.
“The media consistently reports that Biden is in the lead, but voters remember what happened in 2016,” Murray says. “The specter of a secret Trump vote looms large in 2020.”
The poll was conducted by telephone with 401 registered voters in Pennsylvania from July 9-13. The Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, N.J., says the poll has a margin of error of +/- 4.9 percentage points.
